There are two very different versions of this answer. There is the number a lender pre-approves you for, and there is the number that actually fits your life and your budget. In Central Ohio, the gap between them is often wider than people expect. Let me walk you through both, so you know exactly where you stand before you start looking.
I work with buyers across Newark, Heath, Granville, Pataskala, and all of Licking County, and the most useful thing I can give you is not a vague range. It is a clear sense of what a realistic monthly payment looks like at today's rates and price points.
What Rates Look Like Right Now
As of late summer 2026, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate in the United States is running around 6.7%, according to Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Rates move week to week, so this is a snapshot, not a promise. But it is the number to plan around today, and it is a big driver of what your monthly payment will be.
Here is the honest part: at 6.7%, your payment buys less home than it did a few years ago when rates were lower. That does not mean you cannot buy. It means the budget conversation matters more than ever, and it should happen before you fall in love with a house.
What a Monthly Payment Looks Like in 2026
The table below shows principal and interest for a 30-year loan at the current ~6.7% rate with a 5% down payment. These are estimates. Your actual payment adds property taxes, homeowners insurance, and, if you put down less than 20%, Private Mortgage Insurance. Those vary by home and lender, but the P&I number is the foundation.
| Home Price | 5% Down | Loan Amount | P&I Monthly |
|---|---|---|---|
| $250,000 | $12,500 | $237,500 | ~$1,530 |
| $300,000 | $15,000 | $285,000 | ~$1,840 |
| $350,000 | $17,500 | $332,500 | ~$2,150 |
| $400,000 | $20,000 | $380,000 | ~$2,450 |
Add a realistic estimate for taxes and insurance, and the total monthly payment lands roughly $300 to $600 above those P&I figures depending on the home and your down payment. A $300,000 home in Licking County, for example, typically means a total payment in the low to mid $2,000s per month. That is the real number to budget around.
What the Licking County Market Actually Costs
The most recently reported county-wide median home sale price for Licking County is around $311,000, up roughly 3.7% year over year. That is a county-wide average, and individual towns sit well above and below it. Granville, for example, has reported median prices in the $500,000s, while Newark's median has been reported in the mid-$200,000s. What you can afford depends a lot on which town you are targeting, which is why it helps to compare price points before you start touring. For the fullest read on the county and each town, see my September 2026 Licking County market update.
If you want a town-by-town sense of what your money buys, my What $300K Gets You in Newark, Heath, and Granville post breaks down exactly how that budget plays out in different communities.
The 28% Rule and the Real Budget
A common starting point is that your total housing payment should stay around 28% of your gross monthly income. On an $80,000 household income, that is about $1,870 per month. On $100,000, it is about $2,330. That is a useful guardrail, but it is only a starting point. Your real budget also has to cover the rest of your life: car payments, student loans, childcare, groceries, and savings.
My advice is to back into a number that feels comfortable, not the maximum a lender will approve. The maximum often leaves you house-poor. The comfortable number keeps you in a home you can actually enjoy.
Don't Forget the Cash Up Front
Your monthly payment is only part of the picture. You also need cash for the down payment, closing costs, an inspection, and a few other line items before you ever make the first mortgage payment. If you are a first-time buyer, my How Much Cash Do You Actually Need to Buy a Home? post lays out exactly what to plan for, and my First-Time Buyer Hub covers financing options and assistance programs in more depth.
How to Get the Real Answer
The only way to get a number you can trust is to run the math for your specific income, debts, and down payment with a lender. I work with local lenders who can pre-approve you quickly and tell you exactly what you qualify for at today's rates. Then we combine that with a payment that fits your life, and we shop for homes in the range that actually works.
The whole process is covered step by step in my Buying Guide, so you always know what comes next and why.
The Bottom Line
You do not need to know your exact budget before we talk. You need a lender-approved number and a clear sense of the monthly payment you are comfortable with. Everything else is matching that to the right home in the right town. That is exactly what I help people do every day across Licking County.
If you want a clear read on what you can afford before you start looking, let's run the numbers together. You can reach out any time. Better call Paul, I got you, talk to you soon.
Paul Durbin
REALTOR, eXp Realty | License #2023003965
Wondering what you can afford?
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